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AI electricity

Analysis | Opinion

AI’s bottleneck isn’t chips — it’s electricity

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AI

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Leon Wilfan

Jan 7, 2026

22:00

The race to expand artificial intelligence is running into a problem that cannot be solved with better code or faster chips.


AI’s bottleneck is electricity.


Power has become the quiet limit on how fast AI can grow, and the latest data from across the United States makes that hard to ignore.


AI systems sit in massive data centers that run 24/7.


These facilities pull large and steady amounts of power, and more are being built every month.


U.S. electricity use hit a record high in 2024, and government forecasts expect demand to keep rising through 2026.


Data centers already use about 4 percent of all electricity in the country. That share still looks small, but the speed of growth matters more than the size.


Demand is rising faster than the grid was designed to handle.


The U.S. power grid carries the weight of decades of use.


Much of it was built in the 1960s and 1970s, and around 70 percent of transmission lines are now more than 25 years old.


Age brings limits.


Older systems struggle with heavy loads, weather stress, and rising cyber risks.


When AI demand piles on top of this, the strain shows up quickly. Outages, delays, and emergency fixes become more likely.


The problem is data centers are not spread evenly across the country.


AI demand has become really concentrated.


Data centers are not spread evenly across the country.


They cluster in places like Northern Virginia, Texas, and parts of the Southeast. In these areas, power demand can jump faster than local grids can expand.


Even when a country has enough total electricity, local systems can still break under sudden pressure.


Grid operators have already warned that some regions could face shortages as soon as mid-2026.


Funding isn’t the issue, time is.


The federal government has committed $14.5 billion to grid improvements, and private investment has reached close to $37 billion in recent years.


These numbers sound large, yet grid projects move slowly.


Permits take years.


Transmission lines face local opposition. New power plants require long planning cycles. Nuclear energy, often mentioned as a solution for steady power, can take a decade or more to bring online.


Grid requirements could triple by 2030.


Data centers power demand will increase grid requirements. Analysts expect them to grow more than 20 percent by the end of 2026 and to nearly triple by 2030.


That pace leaves little room for delay.


Each new AI campus adds long-term demand that does not fade during off hours.


Unlike many industries, data centers do not shut down at night.


Big Tech thinks green energy is the solution.


They are buying renewable power, improving cooling systems, and designing more efficient hardware.


These steps help, but they do not remove the basic need for reliable electricity.


Clean energy still depends on transmission.


Efficiency gains still rely on stable supply. Without enough power at the right place and time, expansion slows.


The bigger risk is that electricity halts AI progress.


Headlines focus on chips, models, and breakthroughs, while power planning happens quietly in the background.


The data now shows that energy deserves equal attention. AI growth depends on electrons just as much as algorithms.


Until grid upgrades move faster and planning becomes more coordinated, electricity is the big AI bottleneck. It will shape how far and how fast AI can really go.

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